Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.003426 0.003596 0.003769 0.003960 0.004165 0.004378 0.004616
2025-03-30 0.003092 0.003341 0.003605 0.003908 0.004248 0.004616 0.005050
2025-04-06 0.002909 0.003205 0.003528 0.003910 0.004350 0.004845 0.005447
2025-04-13 0.002688 0.003004 0.003356 0.003781 0.004282 0.004860 0.005583
2025-04-20 0.002581 0.002922 0.003309 0.003785 0.004360 0.005038 0.005910
2025-04-27 0.002520 0.002887 0.003311 0.003842 0.004497 0.005288 0.006330
2025-05-04 0.002416 0.002795 0.003239 0.003803 0.004511 0.005382 0.006555
2025-05-11 0.002331 0.002721 0.003183 0.003779 0.004539 0.005490 0.006799
2025-05-18 0.002253 0.002651 0.003128 0.003752 0.004558 0.005586 0.007027
2025-05-25 0.002223 0.002638 0.003143 0.003811 0.004689 0.005829 0.007464
2025-06-01 0.002163 0.002586 0.003104 0.003799 0.004725 0.005945 0.007729
2025-06-08 0.002100 0.002527 0.003055 0.003770 0.004736 0.006027 0.007947
2025-06-15 0.002027 0.002454 0.002986 0.003714 0.004708 0.006055 0.008092
2025-06-22 0.001962 0.002389 0.002925 0.003666 0.004689 0.006094 0.008254
2025-06-29 0.001921 0.002354 0.002902 0.003667 0.004737 0.006228 0.008562
2025-07-06 0.001835 0.002256 0.002794 0.003549 0.004612 0.006109 0.008478
2025-07-13 0.001802 0.002228 0.002776 0.003553 0.004661 0.006241 0.008786
2025-07-20 0.001789 0.002226 0.002793 0.003606 0.004779 0.006480 0.009275
2025-07-27 0.001743 0.002179 0.002748 0.003570 0.004767 0.006523 0.009451
2025-08-03 0.001705 0.002141 0.002714 0.003548 0.004775 0.006594 0.009675
2025-08-10 0.001668 0.002103 0.002679 0.003523 0.004776 0.006655 0.009885
2025-08-17 0.001660 0.002105 0.002699 0.003577 0.004898 0.006909 0.010432
2025-08-24 0.001631 0.002076 0.002674 0.003566 0.004919 0.007003 0.010712